You know me from my previous SpaceX 400 bagger DD. Important note - this is NOT a post to talk about politics, nobody cares who you’re voting for. This is just how to make money positioning yourself with stocks/options before and after the midterms. Right now, Republicans control both chambers of Congress. The prediction markets show Democrats are heavily favored to win. As we’ve seen during EVERY election, there are certain stocks that always run up big and move crazy after elections.
$MSOS - $MSOS 是一只持有顶级大麻/大麻公司的 ETF。过去,大麻股在选举后曾出现惊人的波动。2020 年选举后,部分大麻股涨幅超过 2000%。相反,当特朗普和共和党在 2024 年获胜时,$MSOS 及其他大麻股在随后几个月跌幅超过 80%。
There’s a reason for the big moves. The Democrats want to pass several bills that would be positive for the weed sector. In fact, just yesterday, Congressman Steve Cohen introduced a bill that would fully legalize marijuana.
The last big event happening this year is the Midterms. I believe traders and hedge funds will start positioning themselves for the election on Monday, and the run-up will start. Since AI and Crypto would be under pressure if the Republicans lose (regulation, anti-data centers, anti-CLARITY Act), I believe a lot of the hedging will be with weed stocks. We already saw what happened to tech and crypto yesterday. Since $MSOS is an ETF that holds the top weed companies, I suspect this will be the main focus for the election hedge Monday/Tuesday.
https://preview.redd.it/4wzjz5nz5uyh1.png?width=1506&format=png&au&s=e4ff90d5c9cad0b380154a2c1cd12e3aebbb8891
Positions - 大量股份,11 月 6 日 $4 看涨期权和 11 月 6 日 $4.50 看涨期权
We’ve seen this stock move crazy before. On December 12th, $MSOS went up 55% in a single day just because Trump was preparing to reclassify marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III. That news event wasn’t even that big of a deal, but it went up over 50% anyway.
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